2018 finals tips and projections

The projections on this page are based on our Elo ratings system, which is explained here. Teams are rated based on their past results, taking into account the margin of their wins or losses, the quality of their opposition and home-ground advantage. We then simulate the season at least 20 000 times using the team ratings, after the conclusion of each round.

Read more:  How our ratings work Tips for upcoming gamesHistory of AFL Elo ratings

For archived projections from the regular season, click here. 

Last updated after week 2 of the 2018 finals.

CURRENT TEAM RATINGS

PROJECTIONS FOR EACH TEAM

WHO WILL PLAY IN THE GRAND FINAL?

ELO’S TIPS FOR THE NEXT ROUND