The projections on this page are based on my Elo ratings system, which is explained here. Teams are rated based on their past results, taking into account the margin of their wins or losses, the quality of their opposition and home-ground advantage. We then simulate the season 20 000 times using the team ratings. You can see my tips for upcoming games here. The projections and tips will update once a week, after the conclusion of each round.
Last updated after R4, 2020
REGULAR SEASON PROJECTIONS ARCHIVED BELOW
Finals probabilities over time
Projected wins by team
Show the projected wins for your team:
Note: Draws count for half a win.