Last year, I had the great privilege of writing a weekly column for ESPN Australia & NZ, dubbed ‘Footy Forensics’. Unfortunately I won’t be able to do it again this year, as I don’t have nearly as much time available for footy stats. Thanks very much to the team at ESPN, I really appreciated the chance to write for the site. I’ll still post at The Arc, but posts will be sporadic. I’ll have my Elo-based predictions running and will occasionally post on topics that strike my interest. I’ve also started blogging on non-footy topics at mattcowgill.com, so check that out if you’re interested.
How did my simulations stack up?
How did my simulations of the 2017 AFL men’s season stack up?
Who won the finals tipping competition?
The results are in!
Each team’s Elo rating at the end of 2017
Each team’s rating!
Archive: 2017 ratings and predictions
Goodbye, 2017!
Graaaaand Fiiiinaaaalll post!
My preview of the Grand Final for ESPN
How well did my Elo ratings go at tipping games?
Tipping results for the 2017 regular season
Updated ratings and projections after finals week 2
Ratings and projections updated after Week 2 of the 2017 finals.
read more Updated ratings and projections after finals week 2
Which players step up in finals?
Have a read of my latest piece for ESPN.
Updated Elo ratings and projections
Ratings! Projections! Etcetera!