Simulating the finals @ ESPN
Here’s how each team is rated by my Elo ratings system at the end of the 2017 home-and-away season: Sydney is the best team in the league, according to Elo. But this doesn’t mean that the Swans should be favourites to win the flag! Because they finished sixth, they have a harder finals draw than a number of teams that aren’t as fancied by Elo. I’ll start projecting the finals next week.
I’ve calculated how this weekend’s games affect teams’ chances of making the top four and top eight. Why have I done this? I don’t know.
How will this weekend’s games affect teams’ chances of making the top 8 or top 4?
Ratings! Projections! ESPN! Now!
My latest ESPN piece.
Check out my latest piece for ESPN.
The Swans might just be taking the strangest path to the finals ever.
How would teams be rated if we ignored the past?
How has each team performed relative to our pre-season projections?