Tips for upcoming AFL games

The tips on this page are based on my Elo ratings system, which is explained here. Teams are rated based on their past results, taking into account the margin of their wins or losses, the quality of their opposition and home-ground advantage. You can see my projections for the remainder of the season here. The projections and tips will update once a week, after the conclusion of each round.

The Arc's tips for the next AFL round


The tips for future rounds will change as the games approach. For example, the tips for Round 10 will be different after Round 9 has been played than they were before Round 9.

A negative tipped margin means the home team is expected to lose by that amount. A negative actual margin means the home team lost.

You can see the full methodology for my Elo ratings, which are used to determine my tips, here.

Read more: How our ratings work2020 projections | Complete history of AFL Elo ratings