Skip to content

The Arc

AFL footy, graphed.

  • Home
  • 2019 AFL ratings and projections
  • 2020 AFL ratings and projections
  • About The Arc
  • Tips for upcoming AFL games
  • Within-game win probabilities
  • Twitter
  • Facebook

Subscribe via email

Recent Posts

  • Ratings and projects after Finals Week 1
  • Ratings and predictions before the 2019 finals
  • How did my simulations go in 2018?
  • Ratings, projections and tips for 2019
  • Tips and projections for the 2018 finals

SEARCH THE ARC

ARCHIVES

TOPICS

age Brier score Buddy Franklin Bulldogs Carlton Champion Data Coleman medal competition crowds data Eagles Elo ESPN evenness experience Fantasy finals free kicks Fremantle goals GWS Giants hawthorn hit outs home ground advantage interstate Josh Kennedy Matter of Stats minor premiers North Melbourne predictions premiers Projections rankings ratings records Richmond rule changes scores season starts simulations stoppages tips umpiring west coast win probability

win probability

February 7, 2017

Footy has fewer tossups than other sports

A large proportion of AFL games have a strong favourite, compared to other sports.

read more Footy has fewer tossups than other sports

AFL, Australian football 
February 7, 2017February 14, 2017

Win probability estimates: what are they good for?

Estimating teams’ win probability is good and cool.

read more Win probability estimates: what are they good for?

AFL, Australian football 
September 21, 2016December 26, 2016

When should footy fans lose hope?

When is a game truly lost, or won? What’s a safe margin at three-quarter time, or half time?

read more When should footy fans lose hope?

AFL, Australian football 
Proudly powered by WordPress Theme: Atlas by Nudge Themes.