Skip to content

The Arc

AFL footy, graphed.

  • Home
  • 2019 AFL ratings and projections
  • 2020 AFL ratings and projections
  • About The Arc
  • Tips for upcoming AFL games
  • Within-game win probabilities
  • Twitter
  • Facebook

Subscribe via email

Recent Posts

  • Ratings and projects after Finals Week 1
  • Ratings and predictions before the 2019 finals
  • How did my simulations go in 2018?
  • Ratings, projections and tips for 2019
  • Tips and projections for the 2018 finals

SEARCH THE ARC

ARCHIVES

TOPICS

age Brier score Buddy Franklin Bulldogs Carlton Champion Data Coleman medal competition crowds data Eagles Elo ESPN evenness experience Fantasy finals free kicks Fremantle goals GWS Giants hawthorn hit outs home ground advantage interstate Josh Kennedy Matter of Stats minor premiers North Melbourne predictions premiers Projections rankings ratings records Richmond rule changes scores season starts simulations stoppages tips umpiring west coast win probability

ESPN

July 6, 2017

Is the AFL the most even sporting league in the world?

This week at ESPN, I take a look at competitive balance in the AFL

read more Is the AFL the most even sporting league in the world?

AFL, Australian football 
June 29, 2017

Is home ground advantage still a thing? (New at ESPN)

How big is home-ground advantage in the modern AFL?

read more Is home ground advantage still a thing? (New at ESPN)

AFL, Australian football 
June 21, 2017

Do teams perform better or worse after a bye? (New @ ESPN)

Are teams more likely to win after a week off?

read more Do teams perform better or worse after a bye? (New @ ESPN)

AFL, Australian football 
June 15, 2017

Each team’s chance of making the finals! (New @ ESPN)

Latest Elo summary for ESPN!

read more Each team’s chance of making the finals! (New @ ESPN)

AFL, Australian football 
June 1, 2017

What do the data say about each team? Part II! (New at ESPN)

My latest ESPN piece takes a look at every team from Hawthorn to the Western Bulldogs.

read more What do the data say about each team? Part II! (New at ESPN)

AFL, Australian football 
May 18, 2017May 18, 2017

Latest ESPN post: Each team’s shot at September

My latest piece at ESPN contains an update about each team’s finals chances, and how those chances will evolve over the coming weeks.

read more Latest ESPN post: Each team’s shot at September

AFL, Australian football 
May 11, 2017

How has the game changed? Latest ESPN post

Bounces are down, kicks are up, and the ball’s being shared more equally.

read more How has the game changed? Latest ESPN post

AFL, Australian football 
April 20, 2017

New at ESPN: updated ratings and projections

My latest ESPN piece contains updated ratings and projections for each team.

read more New at ESPN: updated ratings and projections

AFL, Australian football 
April 12, 2017April 12, 2017

New at ESPN: is it better to have a champion team or a team of champions?

Is an even spread of contributors better than a small number of superstars?

read more New at ESPN: is it better to have a champion team or a team of champions?

AFL, Australian football 
April 5, 2017

New at ESPN: why do some teams get so many free kicks

Is it because some teams are just better? Or because they’re harder at the ball? Or because they get more of the ball?

read more New at ESPN: why do some teams get so many free kicks

AFL, Australian football 

Posts navigation

← Older posts
Newer posts →
Proudly powered by WordPress Theme: Atlas by Nudge Themes.