Simulating the finals @ ESPN
Elo
Elo ratings at the end of the 2017 regular season
Here’s how each team is rated by my Elo ratings system at the end of the 2017 home-and-away season: Sydney is the best team in the league, according to Elo. But this doesn’t mean that the Swans should be favourites to win the flag! Because they finished sixth, they have a harder finals draw than a number of teams that aren’t as fancied by Elo. I’ll start projecting the finals next week.
Round 22: how much does it matter?
I’ve calculated how this weekend’s games affect teams’ chances of making the top four and top eight. Why have I done this? I don’t know.
Finals swing!
How will this weekend’s games affect teams’ chances of making the top 8 or top 4?
Latest ratings and projections! (New @ ESPN)
Ratings! Projections! ESPN! Now!
What are the most important games this weekend?
My latest ESPN piece.
New ratings and projections for every team @ ESPN!
Check out my latest piece for ESPN.
read more New ratings and projections for every team @ ESPN!
Sydney’s path to the finals
The Swans might just be taking the strangest path to the finals ever.
How much do past seasons affect current Elo ratings?
How would teams be rated if we ignored the past?
read more How much do past seasons affect current Elo ratings?
Were our pre-season projections any good?
How has each team performed relative to our pre-season projections?