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  • Ratings and projects after Finals Week 1
  • Ratings and predictions before the 2019 finals
  • How did my simulations go in 2018?
  • Ratings, projections and tips for 2019
  • Tips and projections for the 2018 finals

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finals

May 18, 2017May 18, 2017

Latest ESPN post: Each team’s shot at September

My latest piece at ESPN contains an update about each team’s finals chances, and how those chances will evolve over the coming weeks.

read more Latest ESPN post: Each team’s shot at September

AFL, Australian football 
April 20, 2017

New at ESPN: updated ratings and projections

My latest ESPN piece contains updated ratings and projections for each team.

read more New at ESPN: updated ratings and projections

AFL, Australian football 
April 7, 2017April 9, 2017

Will your team play finals?

What proportion of teams go on to play finals, from a given record throughout the year?

read more Will your team play finals?

AFL, Australian football 
February 16, 2017February 16, 2017

Who will make the finals? The wisdom of crowds

Readers of The Arc weighed in with their views about which teams will make the finals in 2017. What did they have to say?

read more Who will make the finals? The wisdom of crowds

AFL, Australian football 
September 18, 2016December 26, 2016

The preliminary finalists, they are a-changin’

None of this year’s preliminary finalists played in a prelim last year. That’s the first time since 2007 that the final four teams have completely turned over, year-to-year.

AFL, Australian football 
May 5, 2016December 26, 2016

How early is the top eight usually set?

Is the top eight already set? Maybe, but it usually isn’t after round six.

read more How early is the top eight usually set?

AFL, Australian football 

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